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Last updated Tue Jan 09, 2007 Member since March 2005

Let the drummer kick, let the drummer kick.

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Halloween at Yahoo was pretty fun this year. A lot of great costumes and the little one in tow, as well!


Wednesday October 31, 2007 - 12:22pm (PDT) Permanent Link | 2 Comments
Revisiting Harry Potter and Property Rights
I asked the question first. But now a University of Tennessee College of Law Associate Professor asks "Harry Potter and the (Re)Order of the Artists: Are We Muggles or Goblins?"

(Hint: The answer is YES)
Wednesday October 17, 2007 - 11:23am (PDT) Permanent Link | 0 Comments
Wrap Up: The Right's reax to Ahmadinejad's visit to Columbia
There has been a lot of spirited discussion about the visit of Ahmadinejad to Columbia University yesterday. At first, I thought it would be the usual Conservative vs Liberal spitting contest (c.f. Saddam, Castro, Stalin, Chavez, etc), which generally starts something like this:

Conservative: How can you give a platform to this evil person?
Liberal: We stand for intellectual freedom, and open ideas
Conservative: But this dude is far beyond the pale
Liberal: PATRIOT ACT, GUANTANIMO, ARGH!
Conservative: ENEMIES, WAR, TERRORISM RAHH RAHH RAHH!

(etc.)

And in fact, that's pretty much how it was going, leading up to the speech. Until Lee Bollinger introduced A'Jad. At that point, the debate entered into the surreal. In what can only be described as a scolding, Bollinger called Ahmadinejad's views "absurd" and "uneducated". The reactions seemed very interesting.

At first, there was a lot of cheering on from the Conservative and the Liberal circles.

However, on the Conservative side, there now seems to be regret. I believe John Podhoretz at the National Review seems to have put it best at the summary of a good post, when he said "There's a little whiff of Ugly Americanism surrounding" the ambush. After all, Columbia did invite him to speak, and it is generally considered poor manners to then embarrass your guest as if it is some nationally televised intervention. If his views really were absurd, why was Ahmadinejad worth all the hype? Now, I think it is easy for Conservatives to be critical- most consider it best if A'Jad had never been invited in the first place, so its pretty easy to turn around and criticize this additional twist. Nevertheless, others I've talked to who seem more "Centrist" than I took similar views. If I were one of the organizers, I might feel like I couldn't win for losing with these guys...and that perhaps is a bit true.

Additionally, some Conservatives feel that the tongue lashing was nothing more than a feel-good moment for Americans. This opinion was best characterized in the comments of a Volokh Conspiracy post where one of the frequent right-of-center commenters said:

The most important aspect this whole debate is how the Columbia event effects the vital people at the margins, or fence-sitters. Condoleezza Rice made a rare good point today, pointing out that the real danger in Columbia's invitation is how it will effect fence sitters in Iran, not people here in America who really do have free access to both sides of the debate.

Iran's state controlled media won't let Iranians hear Bollinger's speech. They won't hear the derisive laughter in response to Ahmadinejad's "we have no homosexuals in Iran" line. And they won't hear the tough questions.

What they will hear is the loud applause from Americans when Ahmadinejad names the U.S. as the source of world terrorism. They'll hear the applause when he makes all his propaganda points.

So how does one take this when one is in Iran, strugling perhaps to gain more freedom from the regime or inching toward resisting Ahmadinejad's support of terrorism and anarchy in Iraq and Afghanistan? That is by far the most important question.

I think this is a good point- which seems to be turning out valid, if this Islamic Republic News Agency article is any indicator.

In the end, I think the Right acquitted itself well in this ordeal. (I do disagree with attempts to cut public funding from the school as a result.) I tend to agree that the invitation did not really do anything to forward public discourse, but it did do much to showcase the best side of Conservative opposition. When you contrast the Right's outraged-but-respectful protesting at Columbia to the treatment the Left gave to Ghilcrest of the Minute Men at Columbia (rushing the stage and preventing him from speaking), or to Larry Summers at Harvard (firing him for making "sexist" remarks), then I think the Right comes off rather well in the "Academic Freedom" department.
Tuesday September 25, 2007 - 01:21pm (PDT) Permanent Link | 6 Comments
The Data Overload
The Wall Street Journal covers some research that has been completed by an epidemiologist in Greece. According to his results, "a new claim about a research finding is more likely to be false than true."

This isn't because of fraud, but because scientists are making mistakes in their data analysis, or constructing their experiments in statistically troublesome ways. While the old adage of scientific research has always been that you provide enough data that the findings are reproducible, it is amazing how little research is actually reproduced when it goes up for peer review.

Once upon a time, our science was based mostly on empiricism- what could we reproduce in the laboratory. Today, the big questions require big data-sets. Selecting from that data, processing it, and correcting it if necessary leaves open the possibility that you only end up with the right data for the point you are trying to make.

I think this underscores further the reason why scientists researching global warming should release the code they used to process surface-temperature data to correct for aberrations such as equipment bias and urban heat island effects. However, so far, scientists have been unwilling to do so. That means, given the raw temperature data, it is impossible to duplicate the research of Hansen, et al, which is one of the keystones to the latest IPCC report.
Friday September 21, 2007 - 09:56am (PDT) Permanent Link | 2 Comments
Should Musicians be Small Businesses?
In my discussions with Jill and Camerooni on my previous post about Nine Inch Nails, I think that Jill really hit the nail on the head regarding what happens with a lot of bands:

"The unfortunate thing is that I think a lot of artists sign up with big companies not realizing what the outcome will be. In many cases, it's a, "Oh wow. Didn't realize just how much of the stuff I create becomes the record company's intellectual property." or "Sure, 10 albums don't seem like a big deal now...""



This led me to a little poking around, where I came across this article which purportedly comes from the mid 90's. The article is a scathing condemnation of the Record labels, and includes a rough balance sheet at the bottom, which I have no reason to doubt. It is a really, really good take down of the entire process. The bottom line is that, out of roughly $3 Million in record sales, the record label gets $710,000 and the band gets $350,000. But after the band's expenses, they actually end up $14,000 in the hole (though each band member was paid a small stipend of around $3,400 out of that total).

At first blush, this may seem like a horrid travesty. But really, as I looked at the balance sheet some more, I actually realized that the overall problem isn’t necessarily with the record label, but with the band- and I think Jill’s comments give a good reason why. Bands aren’t good businesses, and the artists within them aren’t very good at business. You would think that their managers would be the business-men, but they seem to have done a huge dis-service to the band.

When an angel investor or a Venture Capital firm funds a startup, they are taking an enormous risk. According to Venture One, only 23% of seeded startup companies actually IPO’d from 1992 – 1997. That is, less than one fourth of the companies got to the point where the VC had a chance to make back its money. (For Record Labels, that's even less- around 10% according to the RIAA.) Now, the new startup has to live off of that money. We have all been in startups and around them, and we know how this can go. Sometimes the startup goes crazy, buying the newest stuff and buying lunch and ridiculous travel. But generally, there is a constant attention to the bottom-line.

On the other hand, the band in the previous article did not keep to the bottom line. Just look at the costs of touring using a tour bus:

Bus......$25,000
Crew.....$7,500
Fuel.....$3,000
----------------
Total: $39,000

If they had just stayed in hotels and driven their own cars these costs would have been:

Motel 8 Room.....$70.00
R
ooms Needed.....2
Nights Needed....35
------------------------
Total Lodging....$4,900
Fuel.............$3,000
------------------------
Total: $7,900


Just that one decision could have saved them over $30,000 and changed their $14,000 loss to $16,000 in profit (an additional $4,000 per band member). Looking at other expenses, the band got $1000 in new clothes (Wardrobe), $7,875 in food and per-diem. They also bought all new equipment at a tune of $15,000. So it isn’t like they had a huge number of other expenses during their tour.

Finally, the band spent $150,000 in recording plus 3% of their proceeds to the producer. Largely those costs included bringing in numerous specialists and $10,000 (!!!) in lodging.

The problem isn’t the music labels are screwing the bands. After all, the music label is risking 100% of the capital. Its that the bands (or their managers) aren’t paying attention to their money.


NOTE: I updated the formating and added some links.
Thursday September 20, 2007 - 01:48pm (PDT) Permanent Link | 8 Comments

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